Many of our supporters have been trying to understand why the argument over a cap in the number of nights that someone can offer their home short-term is such an important item.
This week, Inside Airbnb’s Murray Cox released data showing that affordable housing will be lost if short-term rentals are permitted for as few as 60-days per year in some Los Angeles neighborhoods. Los Angeles Alliance for a New Economy (LAANE), analyzed the data and found that across all Los Angeles neighborhoods it takes an average of just 83 nights per year to earn more on Airbnb than can be earned in a whole year of renting to a long-term renter.
“Most people following the debate around regulating this industry don’t understand the impact that the cap on days per year has on the overall housing market in Los Angeles,” say Roy Samaan, LAANE Research & Policy Analyst. “For the overwhelming majority of neighborhoods across LA, a 90 day cap offers a weak incentive for landlords to rent out their units on Airbnb. However, the currently-proposed 180 day limit offers a substantial financial incentive to rent out units on Airbnb instead of long-term tenants.”
Regulators all over the world are currently working on ways to control Airbnb and other short-term rental platforms. The issue of caps has been considered and implemented in a number of cities. Many of these cities have found the caps impossible to measure and enforce, leading to complete bans on short-term-rental activities.
“Protecting affordable housing has been the goal of regulations in a number of cities,” said Murray Cox, founder of Inside Airbnb. “Again and again regulations have failed. New York and San Francisco, as examples, have revised their ordinances because enforcement is impossible and compliance rates are low. Based on my incentive analysis of existing Airbnb’s operating illegally in Los Angeles, it’s clear that landlords will be economically motivated to turn more affordable apartments and homes into short-term rentals, It’s vital that the city adopt short-term rental ordinances that are both enforceable and truly protect affordable housing - and that means a complete ban on entire home rentals, or a low cap with data sharing and platform accountability.”
Data for a number of Los Angeles neighborhoods is attached below. On average in Los Angeles, it takes 83 nights per year to earn more on Airbnb than can be earned in a whole year of renting to a long-term renter.
Zip Code |
Neighborhood |
Council District |
Number of Nights Needed to Earn More on Airbnb than Renting Long Term |
90291 |
Venice |
11 |
83 |
90028 |
Hollywood/Thai Town |
13 |
86 |
90026 |
Silver Lake/Echo Park |
13 |
79 |
90027 |
Griffith Park/Los Feliz |
4 & 13 |
79 |
90029 |
Downtown Los Angeles |
14 |
88 |
90063 |
Boyle Hts/City Terrace |
14 |
84 |
90004 |
Koreatown |
10 & 4 |
78 |
91602 |
North Hollywood/ Toluca Lake |
2 |
68 |
90048 |
Beverly Grove |
5 |
76 |
90731 |
San Pedro |
15 |
91 |
91405 |
Van Nuys |
6 |
80 |
90065 |
Cypress Park |
1 |
86 |
91364 |
Woodland Hills |
3 |
75 |
90008 |
Baldwin Hills/Crenshaw |
10 |
84 |
90018 |
Jefferson Park |
8 |
87 |
90011 |
South Los Angeles |
9 |
79 |
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The numbers shown above are apparently based on the units being vacant when it’s not occupied by tourists. If you were to assume that these places would be rented at monthly rates instead of being left vacant, renting to a transient guest just one night per year would be more profitable than renting to permanent residents.
The bottom line is that capping the number of allowable tourists nights
mightaffect profitability, but caps will never make it advantageous to rent to locals.